The three red-green parties are ready to win a majority in the Storting after the elections, according to forecasts by the Norwegian Election Directorate. KrF and the Liberal Party are fighting with the electoral threshold.
The Labor Party, the Socialist People's Party and the Center Party will have a total of 88 seats out of 169 seats, if the forecast comes true.
This means Labor leader Jonas Gahr Støre is ready to form a government with two preferred partners - and avoid being dependent on Red Party or Green Party support.
MDG and Rødt cross the forecast threshold for the first time.
On the other hand, both KrF and Venstre are likely to fall below the threshold. The result will probably not be released until the election night.
Støre election winner
For the Labor Party, the forecast is much higher than the polls ahead of the above-mentioned elections.
With the support of 26,5%, Labor is by far the largest party in the country, and party leader Jonas Gahr Støre is now in a very good position to become the country's next prime minister.
In the election campaign, Støre stressed that the Labor Party has gained in polls in the last six months after a long period, as well as personal conflicts and power struggles within the party. Labor vice president Bjørnar Skjæran is very pleased with the election forecast, which shows that there is a change of government .
According to the forecast, Sp is the party that will advance the most compared to the 2017 elections.
It will be the best result in the parliamentary elections of Sp.
According to forecasts, the Christian People's Party is likely to fall below the 4% threshold. Thus, the forecast indicates the worst election result since 1936 for the party established three years earlier.
This year's parliamentary elections are the first, led by Kjell Ingolf Ropstad, and the first since the party broke up after the 2018 elections. Forecasts were 21 and 3,9 percent.
Partner in the government and center-left comrade Venstre is also struggling with the electoral threshold, with the forecast exceeding 4 points. When the clock struck 21 on election night, Guri Melby and her men were due to get just over 3,5 percent.
The biggest losers in the elections in terms of the number of votes are the Progress Party and the Conservatives.
The MMF forecasts 11,5%, down 3,7 percentage points compared to the previous elections. Conservatives have 18,7%, down 6,4%.
All in all, the election result will therefore mark the end of the eight-year term of conservative leader Erna Solberg as prime minister.
The Conservatives fought hard in the polls as early as 2020, but got a big boost as the krone pandemic hit Norway. It was only after "Sushigate" this winter, when Solberg was finally fined for breaking the pandemic rules over dinner, that the trend reversed.
For its part, the FRP changed the party leader this winter after a period of weak polls, but the party's promise did not materialize.
SV gets 7,7 percent. in the forecast and thus be promoted from the 2017 election.
Photo: Javad Parsa / NTB
NTB
