The total fertility rate was 1,41 children per woman in 2022. This is a sharp drop from 1,55 the previous year and the lowest ever measured in Norway.
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In 2022, 51 babies were born in Norway. There are 500 thousand of them. less than a year earlier and by 4,5 thous. less than in 1,5, according to new birth statistics.
Statistics Norway calculates the total fertility rate (SFT) from the total number of births. This is a measure of the average number of children women will have over their lifetime, given that fertility patterns remain the same. SFT is used to say something about fertility trends in a society.
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Since 2009, the SFT has been declining every year except 2021. It then increased to 1,55 children per woman, from 1,48 children in 2020. In 2022, this number fell again to the lowest ever in Norway, to 1,41 children per woman.
– The increase in fertility in 2021 turned out to be a one-off event in the second year of the corona pandemic. Now we are back on trend, with fertility rates dropping sharply, says Espen Andersen, senior advisor at Statistics Norway.
Fertility declined for women under 40, while it was stable among women over 40. The decline is particularly large for women aged 25 to 34.
"The fact that the decrease is greatest in these age groups has an additional impact on the fertility rate, because it is at this age that most women give birth to children in the first place," says Andersen.
More than half of 30-year-olds are childless
SFT says something about birth rates here and now. Another way to study fertility is to see how many children actually had children in different age groups. Among women who turned 30 in 2022, i.e. in the group from 1992, 54 percent. had no children. Ten years ago, the corresponding share was 42 percent.
"Since there are so many 30-year-olds who haven't had children yet, it's doubtful that today's women will have as many children as generations before them - although it's conceivable that they'll have a few more children after they turn 30," says Andersen.
Among those who turned 2022 in 35, 26 percent had no children. Ten years ago, that figure was 21 percent.
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Source: Statistics Norway
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