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Immigrants stay longer in low-wage jobs

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According to Statistics Norway, more immigrants work in low-paying jobs such as cleaners and helpers compared to the rest of the population. Immigrants are also more likely to stay in these professions for many years. In 2021, about 13% of immigrants worked as cleaners and helpers, compared to less than 3% among the rest of the population. Data refer to employees aged 20 to 66 living in Norway.

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In 2020, about 56 immigrants worked as cleaners and helpers. 000% of them were still in the same profession in 2021 .

In 2022, the average monthly salary for cleaners and support staff was NOK 38, which is almost NOK 16 less than the average for all professions. We are talking about gross amounts. About three out of four workers in these professions earned less than NOK 40 per month. Among all professions, every fourth employee had a salary below NOK 000.

Fewer immigrants are moving into higher-paying jobs. Only 1,5% of immigrants working as cleaners and helpers in 2020 entered academic and managerial occupations later in the period, compared to 4,1% of the rest of the population. The gap between immigrants and the rest of the population is smaller in service and manufacturing occupations. Academic, managerial, service and manufacturing occupations all have higher wage levels than cleaning and support jobs, but there are significant differences in earnings between the three occupational groups.

Many immigrants stay in the same jobs for many years. Among immigrants working as cleaners and helpers in 2007, 45% were still in the same occupation in 2021, compared to 29% of the rest of the population. Occupational changes are the largest in the first years, and then they become relatively smaller. There is also a big difference between age groups. Young immigrants tend to change jobs more often than older immigrants.

Population growth in Norway will be much lower

New national statistical projections, presented by Statistics Norway, show that Norway's population is projected to increase from the current 5,4 million to 6,1 million in 2060 and 6,2 million in 2100.

According to Ane Tømmerås, a demographer at Statistics Norway, future population growth in Norway will be much lower than what we have seen in recent decades.

Population growth occurs when the number of births exceeds the number of deaths, and when more immigrants arrive than leave the country. High net immigration, especially in the 2010s, contributed to high population growth in Norway, despite the decreasing birthrate over the same period.

Immigration will be a major factor in population growth

“In order to sustain population growth, we expect immigration to continue to be a major driver, but not as intense as before,” says Ane Tømmerås.

Forecasts suggest that net immigration will pick up slightly in the coming years, mainly due to the conflict in Ukraine, before falling to a long-term trend of around 11-12 a year.

“We predict that by 2050, the number of deaths will exceed the number of births per year, and then immigration will be the main driver of further population growth,” adds Ane Tømmerås.

Statistics Norway produces demographic projections at both national and regional levels, taking into account population development in individual counties and municipalities. Regional forecasts are available on the website of the Statistical Office.

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Source: Statistics Norway

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